Politics

Fly on the Wall: Strategic Planning

The newest in truthful observer’s sequence of fictional dialogues supposed to make sense of the underside of the information.

FADE IN:

INT.OFFICE AT CIA HQ, LANGLEY VA. — EVENING

TWO SENIOR CIA ANALYSTS: TONY CATANIA (37), TAMMY AINSWORTH (45). THEY HAVE BEEN ASKED TO ASSIST ON STRATEGIC PLANNING FOLLOWING THE RUSSIAN INVASION OF UKRAINE.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Well, we’re lastly getting someplace.

TONY CATANIA

You imply with the sanctions on Russia?

TAMMY AINSWORTH

No, I imply the entire state of affairs. Just assume again two or three years, when Trump was operating the present.

TONY CATANIA

Yeah, our fingers had been tied. It wasn’t until final spring that we may begin respiratory once more.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Bringing again Victoria Nuland at State was a giant step in the direction of reestablishing continuity.

TONY CATANIA

Yeah, you had been near her, weren’t you?

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Actually, I knew her husband, Robert Kagan, from approach again, earlier than I joined the company. He was a classmate of my husband.

TONY CATANIA

Interesting that Biden introduced her again. After all, she was the one who received the entire Ukraine state of affairs rolling again in 2013.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Yeah, we noticed her socially in that interval. She just about arrange our applications we launched with the brand new regime in 2014 to coach the hapless Ukrainians.

TONY CATANIA

And we’re lastly getting the payoff. After eight years of preparation — together with these 4 of whole uncertainty with Trump — we lastly have a State Department that sees the potential.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

How do you see it taking part in out? I haven’t talked to Vicki recently.

TONY CATANIA

Well, take a look at what we’ve already achieved. It’s chaos over there and everybody within the media is amplifying the impact. Putin is toast. Our guys are nonetheless there making use of the stress.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

You actually assume Putin’s that weak? He might not go simply. The guys on the Pentagon say he’s a troublesome cookie.

TONY CATANIA

But take a look at the massive image. We’ve taken him for a trip. He went for the bait. You gotta hand it to the Biden crew. Planning the Ukrainian escalation on Dombas for February was a stroke of genius. And due to all of the bizarre discuss predicting the Russian assault, nobody observed the Ukrainian escalation on the bottom that was already happening.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Yeah, that was enjoyable for our guys working with the Ukrainian army, build up the drama to take again Dombas and controlling the narrative.

TONY CATANIA

Knowing in fact they couldn’t take it with out upsetting the Russian invasion.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Yeah, we knew it. Not certain the Ukrainians understood that.

TONY CATANIA

Unlikely, until somebody tipped them off. The corker was Foggy Bottom’s sensible concept of predicting Putin’s invasion and even the date. Pure magic. Worthy of Penn and Teller. They received precisely what they wished.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

More like David Copperfield! That was pretty much as good as making the Statue of Liberty disappear.

TONY CATANIA

That was a loopy discover for the State Department, higher recognized for bumbling via mismanaged crises.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

And in fact the Ukrainians performed their position fantastically.

TONY CATANIA

Keeping them at nighttime helped.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Yeah, it at all times does. Now it’s as much as them to maintain the battle going so long as attainable. Have you heard something from our guys in Moscow? Putin should be reeling by now.

TONY CATANIA

Nothing a lot, besides the standard psychologizing of the media. We haven’t given them a lot to work with. Our chief advised us to remain calm and hold a low profile. This is gonna take a few years, most likely. It’s too early to start out any of the intense organizing Nuland’s crew have been planning.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

So we simply sit again and watch?

TONY CATANIA

No. Rest assured, we’re on high of this. In any case, that’s what they inform me. Our job is to keep watch over the media for the second, feed them the information of the day and ensure they run with it.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Boring! That’s not a lot of a problem. The media are lapping up every part we give them.

TONY CATANIA

OK. So, we’re doing our job they usually’re doing their job. What extra are you able to ask for?

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Like getting some motion going. People count on it from us. There should be extra thrilling issues to do.

TONY CATANIA

The motion’s within the Pentagon’s fingers, not ours, not less than till some turning level occurs and now we have to recalibrate.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

What worries me is the price of ready. With elections arising, it doesn’t look good for the present administration and with Republicans controlling Congress it may get messier. I’d wish to see a number of issues resolved earlier than November when issues are prone to begin unraveling.

TONY CATANIA

Don’t be such a pessimist. Unless Trump or Pompeo or any individual like that comes again in 2024. We’re cool until then.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

Yeah, until the entire rattling factor backfires, like Iraq.

TONY CATANIA

Even that’ll take time. In any case, you recognize in regards to the planning. By 2024 we’ll have already moved on to China and Taiwan. That’s the place our focus will likely be.

TAMMY AINSWORTH

You’re proper. I assume in a 12 months or so we could also be writing the entire Ukrainian factor off as simply one other boring interlude.

TONY CATANIA

You know the rating. There’ll at all times be greater challenges forward.

FADE OUT

N.B. Tony and Tammy are confirming the testimony of retired Swiss colonel and NATO skilled, Jacques Baud, who describes occasions in February within the days previous the Russian invasion on February 24. Citing “the daily reports of OSCE observers,” he reveals that “since the 16th, the [Ukrainian] artillery shelling of the populations of Donbass has increased dramatically.”

Fair Observer’s operating characteristic Fly on the Wall is a sequence of imaginary, however plausible dialogues supposed to make use of fiction to assist us make sense of the world. Each fictional dialogue takes place in a non-public setting between generally actual, generally imaginary individuals within the information or behind the manufacturing of stories. By exploring the motivation and intentions of the characters, these dialogues present a chance to light up the shadows lurking within the secret corners of present occasions.

The views expressed on this article are the creator’s personal and don’t essentially replicate Fair Observer’s editorial coverage.

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